Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.074062 0.088045 0.103741 0.122637 0.144737 0.169737 0.200132
2025-02-16 0.052442 0.070309 0.092677 0.122608 0.161470 0.210065 0.275270
2025-02-23 0.041461 0.061151 0.088012 0.127041 0.181956 0.256065 0.363163
2025-03-02 0.031911 0.051089 0.079244 0.123111 0.189136 0.284064 0.429911
2025-03-09 0.026160 0.044991 0.074453 0.123197 0.200914 0.318812 0.509530
2025-03-16 0.021491 0.039465 0.069266 0.121325 0.208732 0.347833 0.583377
2025-03-23 0.018736 0.036497 0.067515 0.124388 0.224350 0.390275 0.682710
2025-03-30 0.015902 0.032782 0.063765 0.123250 0.232424 0.420958 0.765923
2025-04-06 0.013374 0.029119 0.059426 0.120226 0.236487 0.444901 0.839894
2025-04-13 0.011195 0.025697 0.054926 0.116086 0.237708 0.463612 0.906245
2025-04-20 0.010033 0.024161 0.053841 0.118342 0.251177 0.505823 1.019721
2025-04-27 0.008920 0.022509 0.052231 0.119236 0.261959 0.543981 1.129415
2025-05-04 0.007867 0.020822 0.050340 0.119393 0.271555 0.581495 1.243268
2025-05-11 0.007063 0.019573 0.049222 0.121084 0.284640 0.627529 1.379439
2025-05-18 0.006556 0.018966 0.049475 0.125889 0.305078 0.690825 1.557650
2025-05-25 0.005622 0.017043 0.046261 0.122090 0.305719 0.712431 1.650602
2025-06-01 0.005021 0.015899 0.044771 0.122199 0.315320 0.754335 1.791482
2025-06-08 0.004410 0.014592 0.042634 0.120347 0.319972 0.785665 1.912173
2025-06-15 0.004079 0.014043 0.042415 0.123388 0.336930 0.846685 2.105941
2025-06-22 0.003628 0.013023 0.040725 0.122258 0.343253 0.883573 2.247700
2025-06-29 0.003171 0.011878 0.038481 0.119258 0.344340 0.908046 2.362611
2025-07-06 0.002741 0.010720 0.035988 0.115150 0.341921 0.923647 2.457668
2025-07-13 0.002540 0.010311 0.035694 0.117388 0.357034 0.984526 2.670172